Saturday, June 27, 2009

SPX - Should be near the top of a medium-long term

With these levels of compliance should be near the top of a medium-long term.

I do not believe in running to 1,000 + on the spx.
I do not believe that two consecutive weeks will close above 956 in the coming months.

I do not believe that the spx can make a monthly close above 956 in the coming months.

This is a typical bear market rally the market should be very close to the selloff back again.
During the coming weeks I will follow this charts.
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Enjoy
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SPX - Update Daily and Hourly


Close last friday 918.90(-1.36)
Bulls try to break important range [935-921] but close again below 928 and 935. Vix new lows again lose 1.7%.
Readjust numbers because spx visited target short-term this week.

Below 928 I expect [880-893] again.
Below 935 I expect [790,820] medium term.

Suport important big picture [880,893]

Important Monday
-Resistance Hourly range[921,928].
-Suport 913 and 896.
-Control MACD hourly and 913.
MACD near new sell signal.
Close hourly below 913 we will see 896 and bears will try to attack important suport [880-893].

Plan for Monday
Open more short if:
New sell signal macd hourly and close hourly above 913 rule number 3,4,6.
Click to zoom in.
New post soon.
Enjoy the weekend.
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NDX - Update Daily and Hourly


Last Friday ndx close (1480.20)=(+4.38) close above 1475 but I have to follow another resistance before high of the year. Number is 1487.

Below 1487 I expect [1230,1260] medium term.
Suport important big picture [1390,1410]

Important Monday
-Resistance Hourly [1480,1487].
-Suport 1466 and 1435.
-Control MACD hourly and 1466.
MACD near new sell signal.
Close hourly below 1466 we will see 1435 and bears will try to attack important suport [1390-1410].

Plan for Monday.
Open more short if:
New sell signal macd hourly and close hourly above 1466 rule number 3,4,6.
Click to zoom in.
Add two more charts
AAPL:QQQQ top of the range;
Gain/losses ndx friday. Look who many points gived AAPL last session.
Enjoy.


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DAX - Update Daily and Hourly



Dax close (4776.47)= (-35.45) close below 4880 and 5050
Readjust numbers because dax visited target short-term this week.

Below 4880 I expect 4400 short-term.
Below 5050 I expect [4000,3900] medium term (4-6 weeks).
Suport important big Picture: 4650

Important Monday
Resistance Hourly 4790 - [4880-4860].
Suport: 4750 -4720 - 4650
Last friday at close new sell signal MACD but need confirmation with close hourly below 4720.

Plan for Monday.
Open more short if:
With close hourly above 4720 rule number 3,5,6.

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Enjoy.
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Friday, June 26, 2009

VIX - Hourly Divergence Bullish??



Vix have to close hourly above 27.50 to confirm divergence
I see divergence bullish Rsi hourly
Open the chart
Click to zoom in.
I can`t see who can market go high today.
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SPX - Why I only short this maket





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Enjoy
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Open Short Position

SPX @ 921 (10)
NDX @ 1474 (7)
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Thursday, June 25, 2009

SPX - Update Daily and Hourly


Close today 920.26(+19.32)
Spx close below 935 so nothing new.
Below 935 I expect [790,820] medium term.

Today break 911 hourly/daily and is now testing important resistance.
I suspected yesterday that the market should go up, because if you see my post/chart spx had divergence bullish stochastic daily.
So now bulls will try to break this important range [935-921].

I suspected that spx will turn around soon.
Don`t forget today vix fall 15% and made new lows of the year again = This is very bery bearish I see spx only at 920 made 956.
Important tomorrow watch macd hourly. New sell signal macd hourly with confirm lower high and we will testing again range [880-893] or we will break last down swing and see my medium term target [790-820.

Hourly/Daily
Suport 910 resistance between [935-921]

Trades big picture
Open Last week short at 941 close 902 (80% of my position) and I will initiating short positions again.
See the table of trades at the end of the blog.
Any position of trading I will post here realtime.
Click to zoom in.
Enjoy
=
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DAX - Update Daily and Hourly


Dax close (4800.56)= (-35.45) close below 4980

Below 4980 I expect [4200,4000] medium term.

Tomorrow resistance Hourly [4880-4860].
Add two charts to explain better, what I expected for short term
Click to zoom in.
Enjoy.



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DAX - Ideias Short Term



More later trade the plan.
Two possibles scenario for short-term.
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Enjoy
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Wednesday, June 24, 2009

SPX - Update Daily and Hourly


Spx close below 935 = 900.94(+5.84)

Below 911.50 I expect [880,893] very short term.
Below 935 I expect [790,820] medium term.
Remember two possibles scenarios:
Dont`t break range [880,893] and we will see pullback again target expect between [935,921].
Break range [880,893] and we will see soon 850.

Tomorrow resistance Hourly 911.50.
Last update I fail, because had obligation to have seen the opening of gapdown on Monday. Open was 911.50. Today high test open of last monday. So the must important resistance was and is 911.50 I post 908.
Scenario to have a pullback spx have to break trend hourly versus daily to have to close above 911.50.
Click to zoom in.
Enjoy
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NDX - Update Daily and Hourly


Today ndx close (1447.06)=(+22.60) below 1475

Below 1460 I expect [1395,1410] very short term.
Below 1475 I expect [1230,1260] medium term.

Tomorrow resistance Hourly [1455,1460].
If ndx close hourly above 1460 will break trend hourly, and give a signal strength to attack 1475 and open door to new high of the year.
Important tommorrow control MACD hourly and 1435
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Enjoy.
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DAX - Update Daily and Hourly


Dax close (4836.01)= (+128.86) close below 4980

Below 4980 I expect [4200,4000] medium term.

Tomorrow resistance Hourly [4880-4860].
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Enjoy
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DAX - Open short if


I want to open short again above 4880
Now I have to wait. Hourly give a new buy signal and confirm with close above 4780.
Last monday I close my position.
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Enjoy.
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SPX - Next Swing.Something like this.


DAX and NDX break hourly levels see last update (yesterday).
If spx close hourly above 908 I have to wait.
See update last week
- Big picture-
If Dont`t break range [880,893] we will see pullback again target expect between [935,921].
Break range [880,893] and we will see soon 850.
Mybe something like this.
2:00 FED.
Last monday I close 80% of my short position.
Cick to zoom in
Enjoy.
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Corn - New Update Chart 4 Hours


Last analys I suspect that corn had to visited the blue range.
Resistance now 400-408
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GBPUSD - New Update Chart 4 Hours.



Smell just like a top or a false breakout but above 1.62 bulls control
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Enjoy
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Gold - New Update Chart - 4 Hours




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Enjoy.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2009

NDX - Update Daily and Hourly


Today ndx close (1424.46)=(-2.15) below 1475

Below 1443 I expect [1395,1410] very short term.
Below 1475 I expect [1230,1260] medium term.

If ndx close hourly above 1443 I have to reduce some short.
Tomorrow resistance Hourly [1436,1443]. Macd near to reverse again but price need to close hourly above 1443.
Click to zoom in.
Enjoy.
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DAX - Update Daily and Hourly


Dax close (4707.15)= (+13.75) close below 4980
25 point to visited target that I post last week.
Below 4780 I expect 4650 very short term (bearish Wedge)
Below 4980 I expect [4200,4000] medium term.

If dax close hourly above 4780 I have to reduce some short.
Tomorrow resistance Hourly [4780-4760]. Macd reverse again but need to confirm with a close above 4780.
Click to zoom in.
Enjoy
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SPX - Update Daily and Hourly


Spx close below 935 = 895.10(+2.06)
Between range that I predict to very short term.
Below 908 I expect [880,893] very short term.
Below 935 I expect [790,820] medium term.
Remember two possibles scenarios:
Dont`t break range [880,893] and we will see pullback again target expect between [935,921].
Break range [880,893] and we will see soon 850.

If spx close hourly above 908 I have to reduce some shorts.
Tomorrow resistance Hourly 908,900. Macd near to invert again but have to confirm with a close above 908.
Wednesday’s Economic Data
8:30 a.m. May Durable Goods Orders
10:00 a.m. May New Home Sales
2 p.m. FOMC Meeting

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Enjoy
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Monday, June 22, 2009

DAX - Update Daily and Hourly


Dax close (4693.40)= (-146.06) close below 4980
Something new today near of target very short term.
Below 4880 I expect 4650 very short term (bearish Wedge)
Below 4980 I expect [4200,4000] medium term.

If dax close hourly above 4880 I have to reduce some short.
Tomorrow resistance Hourly [4780-4760]. Macd with new sell signal.
Click to zoom in.
Enjoy
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NDX - Update Daily and Hourly


Today ndx close (1426.61)=(-29.17) below 1475

Below 1460 I expect [1395,1410] very short term.
Below 1475 I expect [1230,1260] medium term.

If ndx close hourly above 1460 I have to reduce some short.
Tomorrow resistance Hourly [1433,1443]. Macd with new sell signal.
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Enjoy.
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SPX - Update Daily and Hourly


Spx close below 935 = 893.04(-28.19)
Something new today near of target very short term.
Below 908 I expect [880,893] very short term.
Below 935 I expect [790,820] medium term.
Remember two possibles scenarios:
Dont`t break range [880,893] and we have a pullback again between [935-921].
Break range [880,893] and we will see soon 850.

If spx close hourly above 908 I have to reduce some short.
Tomorrow resistance Hourly [908,904]. Macd with new sell signal.
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Covered SPX and NDX

Covered 50% of my first position ndx.
Covered more 25% of my first position spx.
Can see the table at end of this blog.

SPX@ 898
NDX@ 1429

Other 50% ndx I want to covered if:
NDX follow the last update betweem [ 1410,1390] my first target for short-term.
Other 25% spx I want to covered if:
SPX folow the last update spx between [894,880] my first target for short-term.
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Covered some Short

Covered eurostox @ 2370
Covered ndx @ 1441
Covered spx @ 905
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Covered SPX

Covered spx @ 911
Open short last friday @ 926
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Covered NDX

Reduce risk again
Last friday open short today before the open with a nice gap covered that position ndx`s
Covered NDX @ 1453
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Covered DAX Again

Important reduce risk again.

Covered DAX @ 4770
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Sunday, June 21, 2009

SPX - Update Daily and Hourly


Spx close below 935 (921.23)=(+2.86)
Nothing new spx close below 928 and 935

Below 935 I expect [880,893] very short term.
Below 957 I expect [790,820] medium term.
If spx close hourly above 928 I have to reduce some short.

Tomorrow suport Hourly 915. Bear will try to break 915 and change again MACD hourly.
Sentiment - Vix close below last monday open when spx open below 935. This is bearish to market.
Last update about spx and vix " This is a Joke"


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Enjoy.
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NDX - Update Daily and Hourly


Any change today ndx close (1471.23)=(+17.43) below 1475

Below 1475 I expect [1395,1410] very short term.
Below 1515 I expect [1230,1260] medium term.
If ndx close hourly above 1475 I have to reduce some short.

Can see table of traders at the end of the blog.
Click to zoom in.
Enjoy.
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DAX - Update Daily and Hourly


Dax close (4838.46)= (+1.98) so close below 4980
Below 4980 I expect 4650 very short term (bearish Wedge)
Below 5133 I expect [4200,4000] medium term.
Close hourly above 4980 I have to reduce short.
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New Trade Table - Everthing realtime


End of this blog can see all trade of last week, performance.
Click to zoom in.
All trades realtime follow this link:

.
Table Big Picture " All trades"


Enjoy
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