Friday, March 12, 2010

USDCAD Daily versus Weekly Market Thought 12032010

Disappointing CAN jobs report CAN jobs +21K Unemp rate drops to 8.2% from 8.3% -> USDCAD new lows again.

Nothing new here à last update here http://bit.ly/8ZvLA6 .

Next support 0.9994, 0.9924 and major support weekly chart 0.98.

Resistances: 1.0220, 1.0340 and 1.0390.

Stay alert weekly close below 1.0220 expect 0.9994 possible extension 0.98 ( support weekly chart).

Good luck




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GBPUSD MARKET SHORT/MEDIUM THOUGHT 12032010

Some notes looking to short and medium term.

Bullish view

Above 1.4781 weekly close expect coming months test 1.5580 possible extension to 1.58.

Below 1.5273 can have continuation sideways/choppy sessions with some spikes. Stay alert 1.5273 breakout can push fast this cross.

Bearish view

Below 1.5273 weekly close expect coming weeks new lows around 1.45 area

Last EMA cross bearish - Possible reversal if trade some weeks above .158 area.

Long term view

Below 1.58 big risk collapse this cross and have new lows (< 1.34) this year.

Remember fibo 61.8 correction from (1.70-1,34) good suport area, was the low of this year until now, and remember made projection breakout range 1.68,1.58=1000 pips around 1.48 area.

First 3 months I have 1400 pips close the year 1.6145.Oversold conditions last weeks, risk more higher short side for now.

Looking to major indexes ( ftse, cac, dax, spx, ndx, gold) I have to follow for now bullish view.

Good luck!!!




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Thursday, March 11, 2010

SPX, NDX and Dax Daily Market Thought 12032010

SPX

Bullish view

Short-term view Above 1095 "daily chart" and 1132 "hourly chart" nothing new next resistance 1162 and 1174.

Medium term Above 1095 daily chart expect coming months target between [1200,1220]

Bearish view

Short-term Close below 1132 expect 1123 possible extension to 1117

DAX

Bullish View

Short-term above 5650 "daily chart" and 5858 "hourly chart" nothing new Head shoulders underway Target Head shoulders 6050 follow this scenario above 5740 next resistance 5964.

Medium term above 5650 expect coming months target between [6250,6400]

Bearish view

Short-term close 5858 expect 5740 possible extension to 5650

NDX

Bullish View

Short-term Above 1865 "daily chart" and 1895 "hourly chart" nothing new next resistance 1940 and 1970.

Medium- term above 1865 expect coming months target between [2130,2170]

Bearish View

Short-term close hourly below 1895 expect test 1865.

Note: All this indexes above support area only can expect test resistances areas/targets.

Good luck… sorry no chart today.


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Wednesday, March 10, 2010

GBPUSD Intraday Market Thought 11032010

Below 1.5220 Trend bearish all time frames.

Expect coming hours new test suport area 1.4880 ( bearish formation last hours) but if close hourly above 1.5030 expect 1.5074 possible extension to 1.5110.

Possible bearish pattern - wedge need confirmation with a close below 1.4930 Target 1.4877 again.

Resistances : 1.4985, range [1.5018,1.5030] and 1.5074 the last resistance 8 pips above first resistance daily chart.

Click to zoom in. Good Luck




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SPX - Daily - Market Report 11032010

Another green day today, but below 52 week high (1150.45).
Trend bullish all time frames but stay alert bearish divergence last high around 1148.
Hourly suport: 1132 and 1117
Close hourly below 1132 expect/target 1117 possible extension to 1105 again.
Next resistance high of this year (1150)

Daily Suport:1070 and 1078 , 1095, 1117 Resistance: 1150, 1163
Only reversal trend daily chart with close < 1095
RSI Daily bullish. Stochastic overbought daily and hourly


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