Saturday, November 7, 2009

EuroDollar Update - Daily

Click to zoom in.
EURODOLLAR is losing momentum last weeks.
Expect reversal trend last year with first target 1.42 and second
target 1.38.
Resistance 1.4879, 1.5061,range [1.5250,1.53]
Suport: 1.4682,1.4520,1.4176,1.3945;
Two consecutive closes below 1.4682 expect [1.4176,14220].
Will take a short position in the coming days. Click to zoom in.
Portuguese
Eurodollar tem vindo a perder momentum nas últimas semanas.
Espero nos próximos dias uma inversão da trend ascendente, que vem marcado o comportamento deste cross no último ano.
Resistências: 1.4879, 1.5061,range [1.5250,1.53];
Suportes: 1.4682,1.4520,1.4176,1.3945;
Dois fechos consecutivos abaixo de 1.4682 espero uma visita deste cross aos 1.42 aproximadamente.
Irei assumir uma posição short neste cross nos próximos dias.
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GBP USD - Daily Update

Testing resistance short-term.Click to zoom in.


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Friday, November 6, 2009

NDX - Stop Activated

At close Stop Activated 1732 (25%)
Now only have this position
Short NDX - 1722 (40%) - Stop C > 1742 Target 50%: 1638 and other 50% at 1580.
I will short later
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NDX - Big Resistance Short and Medium Term


Chart 4 hours ndx100.
Big resistance short and Medium term.
Bulls need to break 1750 area.Click to zoom in.
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NDX - Stop activated

SHort NDX - 1714 (35%) - Stop 1734 Target 50%:1580 and other 50% at 1520;
Stop activated @ 1734
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NDX - Plan the trade and trade the Plan

Can see last update ndx Daily and Plan 04/11

Until now Nothing new respect the plan.
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Thursday, November 5, 2009

SPX - Re-entered again in the channel

Can see last update SPX500 Daily 04/11
Can see last update SPX500 Weekly
Can see last advisor SPX500
Re-entered again in the channel and close midpoint (short-term) between bulls / bears.
Resistance 1075 and 1085,57.
Below 1085.57 i expect range [990-1008].
Close above 1085.57 expect visited top channel around 1120+-.
Suport 1045 and 1060
Click to zoom in.

~
Portuguese
O spx acabou hoje por re-entrar novamente no canal ascendente que vem marcado a tendência dós últimos meses, acabando por fechar no ponto de equlibrio entre bulls e bears para o curto prazo.
Resistências: 1075 e 1085,57.
Suportes: 1045 e 1060.
Sem quebra em fecho dos 1085,57 continuo a ter como target, os range [990-1008] para as próximas semanas.
Um fecho acima de 1085.57 espero uma visita ao topo do canal ascendente, a rondar neste momentos os 1120 pontos.
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DAX - Opportunity to accumulate shorts....

Can see DAX - Just Writing Some Notes
Can see DAX - Weekly Important Signals
Adjust the the key value for the continuation of this trend after the last correction
Below 5650 Two Targets
First - 4950
Second - 4800
First resistance range [5470,5493], 5550, 5590
Click to zoom in. Enjoy.


Ajuste do valor a considerar para a continuação do actual movimento descendente.
Abaixo de 5650 dois targets:
- 4950
- 4800
Resistências range [5470,5493], 5550, 5590.
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NDX - Short Order - Activated

Plan the trade and trade the Plan

NDX add short @ 1722 (40%)
I have first stop at 1734

Can see last update ndx Daily and Plan the trade
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NDX - Short Order - Activated

Plan the trade and trade the Plan

NDX add short @ 1714(35%)

Can see last update ndx Daily and Plan the trade
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NDX - Short Order - Activated

Plan the trade and trade the Plan

NDX add short @ 1694 (25%)

Can see last update ndx Daily and Plan the trade
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Wednesday, November 4, 2009

SPX - Update Daily

Can see last update SPX500 Daily 02/11
Can see last update SPX500 Weekly
Can see last advisor SPX500
Click to zoom in. Before US Open new update.

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NDX100 - Update

Can see last update ndx Daily 03/11
Can see last Advisor NDX100
Resistance: 1694,1714,1722
Below 1722 two targets short-term;
- 1565
- 1490
Suport 1638 and 1667 important break this two numbers to accelerate this swing.

New venture starting 1 hour before open Nikkei today, will put some orders in the system orders negotiable CFD `s compliance with the trend and the figures:

Short NDX - 1694 (25%) - Stop C > 1724 Target 50%: 1565 and 50% at 1490;
SHort NDX - 1714 (35%) - Stop 1734 Target 50%:1580 and other 50% at 1520;
Short NDX - 1722 (40%) - Stop C > 1742 Target 50%: 1638 and other 50% at 1580.
Portuguese
Resistência:1694,1714,1722
Sem a quebra em fecho dos 1722, defendo dois target para o curto prazo:
- 1565
- 1490
Suporte 1638 e 1667
Importante por forma a ganhar momentum, a quebra dos suporte referidos, tendo como objectivo os targets avançados.

A venture que se incia a partir da 00:00 de hoje, vão ser colocadas algumas ordens no sistema, negociaveis em CFD`s respeitando a trend e os valores apresentados:

Short NDX - 1694 (25%) - Stop close > 1724 Target 50% 1565 e 50% 1490;
Short NDX - 1714 (35%) - Stop 1734 Target 50% 1580 e 50% 1520;
Short NDX - 1722 (40%) - Stop 1742 em fecho Target 50% 1638 e 50% 1580.
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Tuesday, November 3, 2009

DAX - Two Target Short-Term II

Can see Last update Markets - Just open my notes today...
Can see Last update DAX - Update Daily 30/10

Below 5590 Two Targets

First - 5295 Projection breakout Channel
Second - 5050
First resistance range [5470,5493]
Click to zoom in. Enjoy.

Portuguese
Sem quebra em fecho dos 5590, defendo dois target para curto prazo:
- 5295
- 5050
Primeira resistência importante range [5470,5493].
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NDX - Update Daily

Can see last update ndx Daily
Can see last Advisor NDX100
Resistance 1682, 1694,1714,1722
Below 1722 two targets short-term;
- 1565
- 1490
Suport 1638 and 1667 important break this two numbers to accelerate this swing.
Portuguese
Resistência 1682, 1694,1714,1722
Sem a quebra em fecho dos 1722, defendo dois target para o curto prazo:
- 1565
- 1490
Suporte 1638 e 1667
Importante por forma a ganhar momentum, a quebra dos suporte referidos, tendo como objectivo os targets avançados.
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Monday, November 2, 2009

SPX - Short-term Update

Can see last update SPX500 Weekly
Can see last advisor SPX500
SPX have some bullish divergences hourly, but have to close above 1051 cash. Above 1051 I will expect test [1065,1070] again.
If spx close hourly below 1035 will invalied my last view short-term and we will see more downside possible range [990,1008].
Click to zoom in.
Portuguese
SPX cash apresenta algumas divergências bullish, mas que necessitam de confirmação por parte do preço.
Um fecho horário acima de 1051 irá confirmar uma visita aos range [1065,1070].
Um fecho horário abaixo de 1035 deveremos esperar mais um selloff, tendo como target primário os [990-1008], intervalo publicado aquando da última analise semanal a este indice.
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Crude Picture

I have made a possible elliott count to Crude, its not easy to label the waves of crude but i made my best. looking to the big picture it looks its missing something.
Since the the highs the movement looks a bit corrective so until he brake down the 73 dollars, i will assume that he still in wave 4 and still missing one more high near 85 dollars.
Regards and good trades to all.
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GbpUsd Update


My big friend Carlos ask me if I could do a Elliott count about GbpUsd and I try do it, im going to be honest I never traded this currency and so I don’t have the appropriate sensibility, but it think its not bad at all, the bottom of line we had 5 waves down since the highs, we had a wave 2 with almost 76.4% retrace of wave 1, so if my count is correct we going to have new lows in the next fews days.
Regards.
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Dollar Update

Hi traders, another update for dollar, going straight to the point the odds that dollar bottomed are very high. It break up the downtrend that came since june and now have a lot of space to go up, besides we had 5 waves up meaning its a impulsive movement.
Speaking in elliott waves i think dollar is one step ahead, dollar already finished wave 1 (spx its finishing), and i have 2 scenarios in the table, or it is in c wave of 2 , or already start wave 3 and new highs will come.
In the other picture we might have a inverted H&S, if it cames true spx can go very shorthly under 950.
Regards and good trades.
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