Saturday, October 31, 2009

NDX - Update Daily

Can see last update ndx Daily
Can see last Advisor NDX100
Daily
Resistance 1682, 1694,1714,1722
Below 1722 two targets short-term
1565
1490

Suport 1667 and 1638 important break this two numbers to accelerate this swing.
Click to zoom in. Join Community. If you like be a follow or send me your comments or analyis. It`s free..


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SPX - Weekly Close Confirm Bearish Divergence

Can see last update SPX500 Weekly
Close this week confirm what I suspected last week. Bearish divergence RSI and breakout trend too. Expect the same visited 50 area.
Moving Average and Price confirm [990,1008] important suport
Reversal trend weekly close Below 990.


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SPX - Pattern Overbought/Oversold versus EMA

Can see last advisor SPX500
Expect visited blue and red EMA.
See 2007 test EMA`s and indicator "overb*Oversold" neutral zone (Blue).
I expect the same now.
Pattern ongoing.
Possible target 980,1000.
Click to zoom in.

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SPX 500 - Monthly - " Follow Trend " II

Can see Last update SPX 500 - Monthly - " Follow Trend "
I use some indicators that I created, but I like to follow the traditional indicators.
Important to follow market and follow trend.
Follow the trend is have the opportunity to make money more easily. And that's what all the trades want.
This chart is one of my preferred to see the long term.
With a week over a monthly closing, we have only 50% of bullish signal.
Number next month 995
For a bull market I need to see:
1 - Close > Moving Average;
2 - RTS Indicator -> Black line > yellow zone.


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Friday, October 30, 2009

DAX - Weekly Important Signals

This market lost momentum in recent weeks the decline was expected and inevitable.
Where are we now?
MACD New alert Signal Possible reversal medium term
Moving Average and price confirm the same numbers 5200,5250 Important suport short-term.
Next week expect test 5200,5250.
Click to zoom in.Last updates DAX
Can see Last update DAX Two Target short term
Can see Dax just writing some notes



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DAX - Just Writing Some Notes

Hypothetical head shoulders. Important open some hypothetical scenarios. I will follow this chart in the next week and if necessary adjust some notes.Can see Last update DAX Two Target short term
Click to zoom in.


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DAX - Two Target Short-Term

Can see Last update Markets - Just open my notes today...
DAX possible reversal between [5600-5660]

Can see Last update DAX - Update Daily 26/10
The big level to watch for is the bottom of the channel which comes in at around the 5552 area.If this support level fails, I expect downside 5270.
I adjust number because only break next day.
Below 5590 Two Targets
First - 5295 Projection breakout Channel
Secound - 5050
Click to zoom in. Enjoy.
This weekend new upates - Weekly charts and Big picture.


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Thursday, October 29, 2009

Markets - Just open my notes today...

Can see Last update Daily SPX500
"SPX close today near trend and important suport at 1043.
Reversal ?? This scenario is possible but bulls have to reversal tomorrow. Possible target and reversal between [1060,1066]. Above 1076 new high."

SPX possible reversal between [1060.1066];
DAX possible reversal between [5600-5660]
NDX possible reversal between [1715-1727];
Sentiment
CBOE
yesterday > 1.10 all day Today < 0.80 until now. yesterday bullish today bearish.

VIX
If this is something big ( reversal pattern of the last 6 months) Vix have to hold above 24.30.
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Wednesday, October 28, 2009

SPX - Bears Control or Bulls will attack soon?

This is the beginning of something big.
But i will only have confirmation, with weekly close under 992 or montly close under 1002.
I will refresh some charts big picture next weekend.
Now follow short-term update.
SPX close today near trend and important suport at 1043.
Last weekend i put this chart:
This scenario is possible but bulls have to reversal tomorrow. Possible target and reversal between[1060,1066]. Above 1076 new high.
Next suport daily range [1025,1028] bad signal if market break this suport area.
Close below 1025 will open the door to 975-980. Remember target and advisor last weekend.
http://followmarketrend.blogspot.com/2009/10/spx500-weekly-bearish-divergence.html
Click to zoom in.


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NDX - Bearish Wedge Actived

NDX actived today Bearish Wedge - Target lows of the year.
But i don`t want to go so fast.
Medium and long-term important but i like to see short-term too.
Below 1751 expect test LT2 around 1570.
Rebound it`s possible but bulls need to hold above1663.
If hold 1663 possible rebound to 1715,1727.
If not hold ndx will visited 1570 soon.
But remember last analysis weekly.
See advisor and target between 1420,1490.
http://followmarketrend.blogspot.com/2009/10/ndx-100-big-picture-road-map.html
Click to zoom in. Enjoy.

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SPX - Refresh 60 Minutes Cash

Below today high I expect test trend around 1043.Ghost???Click to zoom in. Enjoy.

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Tuesday, October 27, 2009

SPX - Update Daily and Hourly

Today close below my first target short-term 1066.
Secound target short-term range [1052-1058]
Below 1076 nothing new.
Close hourly above 1076 possible reversal trend last days.
Daily RTS neutral zone.
Resistance 1072 "Hourly", 1076 "D" range [1078,1082]"H".
Suport range [1052-1058] and 1043.
First chart daily and secound hourly cash. Click to zoon in. Enjoy.
Remember "Big Picture vc Road Map"
http://followmarketrend.blogspot.com/2009/10/spx-road-map-bullish-scenario.html
http://followmarketrend.blogspot.com/2009/10/spx-500-monthly-follow-trend.html


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NDX - Bulls Need to Give Signs of Life

The first big level to watch was tested today 1723.
Very close to activate Wedge.
Daily RTS neutral zone
Hourly any divergence bullish at close.
The bulls need to start tomorrow to show signs of life. Otherwise, this index will have strong declines in the coming weeks.
Suport 1663 "Daily",1682 "D";
Resistance: 1741 "Hourly",1752 "H",1761 "Daily"
Below 1752 nothing new and I expect targets " Big Picture vs Road Map"
Remember analysis last weekend: Big trades for all.
http://followmarketrend.blogspot.com/2009/10/ndx-100-big-picture-road-map.html
http://followmarketrend.blogspot.com/2009/10/ndx100-losing-momentum-vs-wedge.html


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Eurodollar and SPX500 Update

Hi folks, one more update, about eurodollar in my opinion is leading this correction, like i said yesterday we were near a top, the only thing i still dont know if it is a short term top or medium.
Until now we have a 5 waves down so we could see a rebound.Eurodolar entered a danger zone, he breakdown the first ascending trendline and now heading to the second, if it breaks the second i will assume that medium term top was done. In the present moment i assume that still missing one more high.
About sp500 i think today the bulls will try to reconquer the previous trading range, my downside target for its around 1050-1055.
Regards and good trades.
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Monday, October 26, 2009

DAX - Update Daily 26/10

Last friday DAX give some signals with new sell signal MACD and RTS with bearish divergence.
Expect this week test bottom channel between yellow 5600 and green 5552.
Resistance: 5713,5776
Suport: 5600,5552
The big level to watch for is the bottom of the channel which comes in at around the 5552 area.If this support level fails, I expect downside 5270.


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SPX - Update Daily and Hourly

So far so good. Plan the trade and trade the plan.
Today close above my first target short-term 1066.
RTS neutral zone with new sell signal MACD.
Resistance range [1075,1078].
Suport range [1052-1058] and 1043.
I expect secound target this week range between [1052-1058].
First chart daily and secound hourly cash. Click to zoon in. Enjoy.

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SPX - Until Now Nothing New

Until now choppy day.
Nothing change.
Open today some short position at 1085 and 1089.
Big trades for all.
http://followmarketrend.blogspot.com/2009/10/spx-road-map-bullish-scenario.html
http://followmarketrend.blogspot.com/2009/10/spx500-weekly-bearish-divergence.html
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Intraday update Indices

The indices are trading in a range between 1078-1098, dont have a defined trend, so the next movement will be very violent.we can see a lot of negative divergences. my guess is the indices can do a new high complete the final leg of the wedge and then breakdown.
Alternate scenario: we are doing a symetrical triangle, and the 1120-1130 area can be achieved.
Ps: its a good time to add short positions until 1110.
Regards and good trades.

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Eurodollar Update

Hello traders, about Eurodollar we are near of a big movement, eurodollar seems its wedging, probably a new push higher a then it can break down the 1.50 level, leading to a big correction. its possible to see very negative divergences, very usual in wegdes and final movement.


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Sunday, October 25, 2009

DAX - Daily Update

Expect a important top medium term soon.
DAX losing momentum.Last friday New sell signal MACD
Suport 5600-5660 Resistance range [5805,5833]
Below 5450 I expect a sell off. Click to zoom in.Enjoy.


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DAX - Testing Big Resistance and Losing Momentum

This market give me this week more signals that we should expect a pullback soon.
DAX losing momentum, the market appears to be overbought.
Testing Big resistance medium-term between [5797,5850],above this range next resistance 6200. Click to zoom in. Enjoy.


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NDX100 - Losing Momentum vs. Wedge

Both charts tell me the same.
NDX losing momentum, the market appears to be overbought.
Big resistance between [1760,1810] area and got this ascending wedge pattern.
A lot of traders are/ will watching this, and they will jump.



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NDX 100 - Big Picture " Road Map"

Weekly chart to follow coming weeks.
I expect Top Medium-Term between [1761-1811].
Natural target for first pullback between [1420-1490]
**************** Advise ********************
Build short positions > 1760
First Target [1490-1520] 70%
Second Target [1420,1450] 30%
********************************************
Indicator didn`t follow price.
Testing this week again important resistance Medium-term.
Market Losing Momentum.
Possible bearish divergence but need confirmation.

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