Saturday, July 4, 2009

Nikkei - Two Targets in the Same Direction

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Bovespa - Follow Other....

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Friday, July 3, 2009

GBPUSD Smell Top vs. False Breakout - Part II

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Crude - Two Target, Some Direction-Part II

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Thursday, July 2, 2009

NDX - Update Daily

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SPX - Update Daily and Hourly


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DAX - Update Daily

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Covered Shorts

DAX @ 4780 (1)
Edit:
SPX @ 910 (5)
NDX @ 1470 (5)
Edit again:
Eurostx @ 2392 (1)
After close
SPX@ 898 (3)
NDX @ 1448 (3)

Table exposure
1 - Important Reduce risk
2 - Put some money in my pocket.
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Crude - Two Target, Some Direction


Crude close (69.05)
Chart 4 hours

Below 71.80 I expect 64.70 - target head Shoulders target - short term
Below 73.36 I expect [57, 59.80] medium term
Important Suport (Big Picture): 66.70
Important Resistance (Big Picture): [75-77]

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Enjoy
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DAX - Update Daily and Hourly


Dax close (4905.44)= (+96.79) close again above 4880 and below 5050.
Just like ndx I have to change short term resistance.

Daily
Below 4975 I expect [4520,4550] short term
Below 5050 I expect [4000,4200] medium term
Important Suport (Big Picture): 4650
Important Resistance (Big Picture): 5050 - 5175

Important Thursday
Hourly
Resistance: 4860
Suport: 4800
MACD new sell signal with bearish divergence but need confirmation with close hourly below 4800 to attack lows last week again.

Plan Thursday
Open more short if:
Close hourly below 4800
Enjoy.
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Wednesday, July 1, 2009

NDX - Update Daily and Hourly


Close (1481.34)=(+4.09)

Daily
Below 1487 I expect [1340-1360] short-term
Below 1535 I expect [1230,1260] medium term.
Important Suport (Big Picture):[1390,1410]
Important Resistance (Big Picture):[1510,1535]
Important Thursday
-Resistance Hourly 1487 and daily 1510,1535.
-Suport 1435 and 1467.
-Control MACD hourly and 1467.
New sell signal MACD at close with divergence bearish but need confirmation with close hourly below 1467.
Close hourly below 1467 we will see 1435 and bears will try to attack important suport [1390-1410].

Plan Thursday
Open more short if:
New sell signal macd hourly and close hourly above 1466 rule number 3,4,6.
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SPX - Update Daily and Hourly


Close 923.33(+4.01)

Close again below 928 and 935. Vix close 26.22 (-0.50%) New lows of the year again with bullish divergence. Need confirmation with close hourly above 27.50 resistance that I wrote last friday. Close hourly above 27.50 I expect fast 29,50+- target hourly very short-term.
Again spx
Until now so far so good. I just have to follow the plan

Daily
Below 928 I expect [880-893] short-term
Below 935 I expect [790,820] medium term.
Important Suport (Big picture) [880,893]
Important Resistance (Big picture) [957,968]

Important Thursday
Hourly
-Resistance [928,932] and daily 935.
-Suport 913 and 896.
MACD new sell signal at close with bearish divergence but need confirmation with close hourly below 913.

Plan for Thursday
Open more short if:
Close hourly above 913
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Tonight New Updates.

Tonight new updates SPX - NDX - DAX.
Important Bearish divergence in some markets.
I will try to take time for the quick updates EURUSD,GBPUSD,BRENT and GOLD.
Now I deserve a nice dinner and walk a little to relax.
Soon begins a new day in the life of a trader
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Crude - Head Shoulders


Crude Chart 60 minutes.
Target 65.
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Enjoy
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Short Position

DAX @ 4868 (1)
SPX @ 925 (5)
NDX @ 1485 (5)
Edit: EuroStx @ 2432 (1)
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Tuesday, June 30, 2009

Kiss Death - The End Of A Beautiful Dream


Remember [2001-2003]
Mr. Market have some problems now.
Perfect Candle to a top with kiss of death moving average.
I like this movie.
Write your book and follow setup by setup
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SPX - Update Daily and Hourly


Close 919.32(-7.91)
Bulls have lost this battle today.
Close again below 928 and 935. Vix close 26.35 (+1.9%)but below 27.50 resistance that I wrote last friday.
Until now so far so good. I just have to follow the plan
Daily
Below 928 I expect [880-893] short-term
Below 935 I expect [790,820] medium term.
Suport important big picture [880,893]
Resistance important big picture [957,968]

Important Wednesday
Hourly
-Resistance 922,925 and daily 935.
-Suport 913 and 896.
MACD new sell signal but need confirmation with close hourly below 913.

Plan for Wednesday
Open more short if:
Close hourly above 913 rule number 3,4,5,6.
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DAX - Update Daily and Hourly


Dax close (4808.64)= (-76.45) close again below 4880 and below 5050.
Today did´n`t confirm the breakout made yesterday.
See yesterday update dax daily/hourly.
Daily
Below 4880 I expect [4550,4520] short term
Below 5050 I expect [4200,4000] medium term
Suport important Big Picture: 4650
Resistance important Big Picture: 5050 - 5175

Important Wednesday
Hourly
Resistance: 4860
Suport: 4800
MACD new sell signal but need confirmation with close hourly below 4800 to attack lows last week again.
Before US open new hourly update.

Plan Wednesday
Open more short if:
Close hourly above 4800 rule number 3,4,5,6.
Click to zoom in.
Enjoy.
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SPX - Continue to follow the chart


SPX has already made the number I wrote yesterday 913.
That number is major support hourly for today.
Important close hourly cash below 913. To confirm lows below last week
In my head I have to continue follow the update two weeks ago.
New Resistance for today [920,922]
Secound chart hourly cash first three hours.
After close new update
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Enjoy.

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Monday, June 29, 2009

SPX - Update Daily and Hourly


Close 927.23(+8.23)
Bulls try to break important range [935-921] but close again below 928 and 935. Vix new lows again 25.35 (-2.1%).

Below 928 I expect [880-893] short-term
Below 935 I expect [790,820] medium term.
Suport important big picture [880,893]

Important Tuesday
-Resistance Hourly 928 and daily 935.
-Suport [913,915] and 896.
-Control MACD hourly and 913.
MACD near new sell signal just like friday.
Close hourly below 913 we will see 896 and bears will try to attack important suport [880-893].

Plan for Tuesday
Open more short if:
New sell signal macd hourly and close hourly above 913 rule number 3,4,6.
Click to zoom in.
Until now so far so good. I just have to follow the plan


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DAX - Update Daily and Hourly


Dax close (4885.09)= (+128.86) close above 4880 and below 5050.
Tomorrow dax have to confirm breakout 4880 and close > 4901 (Today High). Close above 4901 should visited again 5050.

Tomorrow close below 4880 I will recover target short-term
Below 5050 I expect [4000,3900] medium term
Suport important big Picture: 4650

Important Tuesday

Suport: [4800,4820]
MACD until now last signal buy.
Before US open new hourly update

Plan Tuesday
Open more short if:
Close hourly above 4800 with new signal MACD rule number 3,5,6.
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Enjoy.
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NDX - Update Daily and Hourly


Close (1483.83)=(+3.63)
Below 1487 I expect [1230,1260] medium term.
Suport important big picture [1390,1410]

Important Tuesday
-Resistance Hourly 1487.
-Suport 1466 and 1435.
-Control MACD hourly and 1466.
New sell signal MACD at close. Tomorrow possible open below 1475.

Close hourly below 1466 we will see 1435 and bears will try to attack important suport [1390-1410].

Plan Tuesday.
Open more short if:
New sell signal macd hourly and close hourly above 1466 rule number 3,4,6.
Click to zoom in.

Enjoy.
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Open Short

DAX @ 4884 (1)
Eurostx @ 2432 (1)
SPX @ 1485 (5)
NDX @ 926 (5)

Sell more if:

Dax visited 5050+-
Ndx above 1535
SPX Above 950
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Sunday, June 28, 2009

Market Europe - The idea comes to my mind - Range



The upper band of the range was visited on most indices. In the coming months expect a visit lower band again.
When I see the Vix to fall this way and the market with low volume,I think markets will crash or will visit again in sideways lower band of the range.
At the beginning of the year in most indices had a false break of the range. Let's see what market will do in the next 6-9 months.
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Enjoy
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